Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000684 0.000712 0.000742 0.000774 0.000808 0.000843 0.000882
2025-11-02 0.000635 0.000677 0.000722 0.000773 0.000829 0.000889 0.000958
2025-11-09 0.000590 0.000641 0.000696 0.000761 0.000834 0.000915 0.001011
2025-11-16 0.000555 0.000612 0.000675 0.000751 0.000838 0.000938 0.001060
2025-11-23 0.000539 0.000603 0.000675 0.000762 0.000866 0.000987 0.001141
2025-11-30 0.000520 0.000588 0.000667 0.000764 0.000881 0.001022 0.001205
2025-12-07 0.000497 0.000568 0.000650 0.000753 0.000881 0.001036 0.001243
2025-12-14 0.000476 0.000549 0.000634 0.000742 0.000878 0.001047 0.001276
2025-12-21 0.000459 0.000533 0.000621 0.000734 0.000879 0.001061 0.001313
2025-12-28 0.000433 0.000505 0.000592 0.000704 0.000850 0.001035 0.001295
2026-01-04 0.000418 0.000491 0.000579 0.000695 0.000846 0.001042 0.001321
2026-01-11 0.000407 0.000481 0.000571 0.000691 0.000849 0.001057 0.001359
2026-01-18 0.000394 0.000468 0.000560 0.000683 0.000848 0.001067 0.001392
2026-01-25 0.000386 0.000462 0.000557 0.000686 0.000860 0.001097 0.001454
2026-02-01 0.000374 0.000450 0.000546 0.000677 0.000857 0.001103 0.001482
2026-02-08 0.000363 0.000439 0.000535 0.000669 0.000854 0.001111 0.001512
2026-02-15 0.000360 0.000438 0.000538 0.000678 0.000876 0.001154 0.001599
2026-02-22 0.000354 0.000433 0.000535 0.000680 0.000886 0.001181 0.001662
2026-03-01 0.000344 0.000423 0.000525 0.000671 0.000881 0.001186 0.001688
2026-03-08 0.000334 0.000413 0.000515 0.000662 0.000875 0.001187 0.001711
2026-03-15 0.000326 0.000405 0.000507 0.000655 0.000872 0.001194 0.001742
2026-03-22 0.000312 0.000387 0.000486 0.000629 0.000841 0.001155 0.001694
2026-03-29 0.000304 0.000379 0.000477 0.000621 0.000835 0.001156 0.001713